Reliabilities Data
Our very own Predict-A-Win (PaW) Program (used for the postings on our Soccer-Predictions.com (SoccerPreds) website) calculates the likely Probabilities for the Home Win, Away Win and Draw for each match (based on the recent performance trends of the two teams involved). However, the actual performance of many of the teams ‘on the day’ is not consistent. The outcome is that a lot of randomness is evidenced in many actual match results compared to what was expected. That is why our PaW Program also measures a number of different Reliabilities of the teams to check if they perform as expected (or otherwise).
The point we wish to make here is that we have found that trusting the Probabilities figures alone is not at all prudent. Thus we consider that it is essential that the propensity of a team not to perform as the Probabilities indicate must be established before making any decisions about what match outcome to bet on. To do that, our Program measures the ability of the teams to perform as expected across a number of different parameters, which is then transcribed into a percentage figure. We then employ those Reliabilities figures in the analysis mechanisms we have created on this SoccerPAT website, and which cover the following:
- A ‘General Prediction’ Reliability for all the predictions made for each team, whether Home Win Calls, Away Win Calls or Draw Calls.
- An ‘All-Inclusive’ Reliability assessed across a combination of our "Prediction Type", "Detailed Prediction" and "General Prediction" Reliabilities.
- A “Prediction Type” Reliability for either Home Win Calls or Away Win Calls.
- A “DC” (Double Chance) Reliability.
If you do not have access to the data about how reliable each team is to perform according to the expectations of the Bookies and/or our PaW Program, you would be missing out on an absolutely vital piece of information when trying to decide what matches to bet on. All you have to do to get that information for all past weeks and even past Seasons is to register with us, so why don’t you do that now? See the Home screen for the benefits of doing that!
