Parameters for Winning Bet Types

When it comes to making match selections for betting purposes each week, there are many parameters to take into consideration, probably many more than most people have considered. Changing the list of parameters can dramatically change the betting selections that are delivered.

Of course, before parameters for selection need to be considered, it is imperative to have good predictions for what the most likely match outcomes are going to be. A larger number of people than you might imagine look to the Bookies’ Odds to help them determine which way the match outcomes will go. However, due to the randomness in the performance of the majority of football teams, the Bookies will not get it right more than 50% of the time on average across a whole season.

We ourselves use our own especially developed software (the Predict-A-Win (PaW) Program to make football match predictions, the outputs of which we post on our Soccer-Predictions.com website (SoccerPreds). Again though, the reality is that, on overall average, we only do just about as well as the Bookies. Nonetheless, having our PaW Program’s outputs to compare with what the Bookies are expecting gives us a great amount of worthwhile additional data to do analysis work on, and thereby allow us to come up with what we consider are better selections all round for betting purposes. And that analysis work can be done very easily on this, the SoccerPAT website.

Here is a list of the parameters we consider within our Explorer and Research facilities:

1. the “Bet Type” to go for (e.g., 1X2 Betting, Double Chance Betting; Win Only Betting, Under/Over 2.5 Goals Betting, Asian Handicap Betting and Correct Scores Betting);
2. the “Call Type” to go for (e.g., Home/Away Win Calls);
3. what the preferred Odds range is (e.g., Home Win Calls in the Odds range 1.10 to 1.50);
4. whether the selections should be from all available matches or limited to where the teams have been identified as far stronger than the respective opponent (meaning lower Odds for the stronger team) or where the teams seem to be evenly matched (meaning that the Odds for whichever team wins will be reasonably high, generally more than a 2:1 payout);
5. the past records to be relied upon (e.g., Probability of a Win, Reliability of Past Predictions, etc.) and whether the inverse of the assessed figures needs to be used (i.e., instead of High-to-Low, Low-to-High is to be used);
6. whether all teams are to be considered for all Divisions, or whether just the Staying Teams or just the Incoming Teams are to be considered for selection;
7. whether the selections list need to focus on likely expected score-lines only (such as 1-0 calls);
8. whether or not particular Divisions are to be excluded from consideration;
9. whether the selections should be for the full week, weekend or midweek matches; and
10. whether there is to be a limit on the number of matches finally selected.